Poll: Georgia voters reluctant to change state constitution; Presidential race tied among early voters

Today, Better Georgia released the results of a stateside survey of likely voters for key races and the Amendment 1 constitutional ballot question, which would allow the state government to create charter schools over the objection of locally elected school boards.

The results show that despite millions of dollars spent by out-of-state corporations in support of the amendment, only 52 percent of respondents were certain to vote yes even when presented with only the misleading ballot language. Less than half of respondents (45 percent) said they were certain to vote for the amendment once they were provided a description of the real impact.

Even more troubling for advocates of Amendment 1 is the trend for this question favors amendment opposition. Compared to an identical poll conducted two weeks ago by the same pollster, 20/20 Insight, the ‘Yes’ total for charter schools has decreased by 2 percentage points, and the ‘No’ vote has increased by 5 percentage points.

Voters were also asked their opinions in the elections for President, 12th District Congressman, Public Service Commissioner, and 6th District State Senator.

The survey revealed the potential for a runoff in the race for Public Service Commissioner between Chuck Eaton (R), Steve Oppenheimer (D) and Brad Ploeger (L). No candidate garnered more than 50 percent support.

Download the entire survey results as a PDF: BetterGeorgia.com/SurveyNovember2012

Here’s a snapshot of other results:

  • PRESIDENT
    For President, 52 percent of respondents supported Mitt Romney (R), 46 percent supported Barack Obama (D) and 2 percent were either undecided or planned to vote for another candidate. Among people who say they have already voted, the race for President is a statistical tie – Barack Obama gets 49 percent and Mitt Romney gets 50 percent. (1,316 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 2.7 percent)
  • 12th DISTRICT  CONGRESSMAN
    For the 12th District Congressional seat, 50 percent of respondents supported John Barrow (D), 44 percent supported Lee Anderson (R) and 6 percent were undecided. Barrow is leading by 6 percentage points in a district that Obama is losing by 11 percentage points. (450 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 4.6 percent)
  • 6th DISTRICT STATE SENATOR
    In Georgia’s most closely watched State Senate race, 49 percent supported Hunter Hill (R), 46 percent supported Doug Stoner (D), and 5 percent were undecided. (300 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 5.7 percent)
  • REPRODUCTIVE CHOICE
    The majority of respondents, 52 percent, agreed that abortion is a choice that usually should be left to the pregnant woman to decide. Only 6 percent believed abortion should never be permitted. (1,316 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 2.7 percent)

The Better Georgia survey of 1,316 registered Georgia voters was conducted October 29-31, 2012, by 20/20 Insight, LLC and has a 2.7 percent margin of error for likely voters. A full report, including survey questions, can be downloaded as a PDF from BetterGeorgia.com/SurveyNovember2012.